Jason Brady: Investment opportunities during a global emergency

The global macroeconomic environment is different from a generation ago. With cash rates close to zero, and debt instruments diminishing in both yield and defensive characteristics, it is becoming harder than ever to construct income portfolios for retirees. This first quarter of 2020 has seen market volatility and further unorthodox central bank behaviour as the world chooses to shutdown output to contain coronavirus. This session considers both the scope of the challenge for investors and the potential opportunities that exist to navigate this temporary health problem.

Speaker: Jason Brady, chief executive officer, Thornburg Investment Management

Moderator: Alex Proimos, head of institutional content, Investment Magazine

Length: 20 mins

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NZ Super cuts benchmark return expectation on US valuation concerns

NZ Super cuts benchmark return expectation on US valuation concerns

A view that the US stock market is overvalued and equity risk premia will be lower over the long term has driven New Zealand Super to lower the return expectations for its reference portfolio following its recent five-yearly review of the benchmark. Co-chief investment officer Brad Dunstan also flags underweight commodity exposure as an area to address and explains why the fund remains sceptical of illiquidity premia despite seeing a growing case for private markets.

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When states lose the ability to govern, populism rises

Stephen Kotkin, global geopolitical expert and Stanford academic, has warned that there is an “increasing governability challenge in high-income democracies” where government departments face declining capacity to perform core functions due to complex regulatory systems and bureaucratic tasks. 

Inside NBIM’s AI playbook to hone investment edge

Norges Bank is a lean organisation despite managing a $2.2 trillion portfolio. Across the fund’s four global offices, there are only 700 staff, or $3 billion per person, which is why it has made pursuing AI-driven efficiency a core organisation initiative – and a non-negotiable requirement for its employees. 

Investors unpack regime-based portfolio thinking 

Funds are operating in an extraordinary environment, with Scott Chan, chief investment officer of CalSTRS, saying he has never witnessed so many “large shifts stacked on top of the other” in his investment career. Amid the change, investors are increasingly shifting to a scenario and regime-based asset allocation.  

AI investors face post-Moore’s Law reality

Mark Horowitz, a leading computer scientist and electrical engineer at Stanford University, has declared that Moore’s Law is “basically over”, which will have significant ramifications for artificial intelligence investors who are counting on more computing power to feed into more complex models.  

Public-private partnerships key to fixing US infrastructure

The size of the current infrastructure investment gap and the speed at which it is widening mean there is both a desire and a need for more public-private partnerships to unlock funding. Investors say that collaboration with local governments and raising public awareness of private investment benefits are crucial. 

Federal backing vital for US innovation: Stanford president 

Stanford president Jonathan Levin said the university’s top priority is maintaining the partnership with the federal government while safeguarding its operational freedom, as the institution balances financial reliance on Washington and political scrutiny from the Trump administration. 

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