Today’s rapidly changing environment calls for new ways of thinking, and unique views of expansive breadth and usual depth. Our investment professionals across geographies, sectors, and strategies explore today’s risks and tomorrow’s solutions to long-term challenges, connecting public and private markets and the potential opportunities playing out across the real economy.
In our 2024 outlook, we highlight the current macro backdrop, three key questions our clients are asking and investment considerations they may want to make.
Key Takeaways We believe generative artificial intelligence (GAI) has the potential to significantly alter both the economic and investment landscape—making it more than just hype. In our view, companies with the infrastructure to integrate AI with their existing platforms and businesses building crucial generative AI components appear well-positioned for early success. Despite risks ranging from
Key Takeaways Investors are contending with a lingering late-cycle macro backdrop with latent recession risks for the US economy and most developed markets. Rather than wait for the cycle to turn, the journey toward the destination of eventual growth or recessionary outcomes merits its own consideration. We believe that staying invested, keeping active and diversifying
Key Takeaways The commercial real estate market faces significant headwinds such as tighter credit conditions, income pressure and elevated refinancing needs over the next two years. In the US, while the risks are acute for owners of office properties, commercial real estate remains a diverse asset class and pockets of resilience can be found. As
Key Takeaways China’s economic policy has shifted to growth, COVID-19 restrictions have been lifted, regulatory rhetoric has relaxed and the tone toward the property and private sectors has become more supportive. While we expect China’s growth momentum to improve further in the coming months, a hard-hit property sector, aging demographics and geopolitics remain headwinds to
Key Takeaways Unpredictable markets and elevated economic uncertainty may call for a more deliberate approach to portfolio construction. A stronger tilt toward dynamic active strategies may help deliver alpha on a more consistent basis. Allocations that mix traditional public equities and fixed income with hedge funds and private alternatives such as infrastructure, real estate and
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Navigating risks and potential opportunities