Prof Rob Hyndman: Forecasting COVID, time-series, and why causality doesnt matter as much as you think.

Prof Rob Hyndman discusses the interesting elements of his work as editor of the Internal Journal of Forecasting, his work on forecasting COVID for the Australian government, time-series and causality. 

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NZ Super cuts benchmark return expectation on US valuation concerns

NZ Super cuts benchmark return expectation on US valuation concerns

A view that the US stock market is overvalued and equity risk premia will be lower over the long term has driven New Zealand Super to lower the return expectations for its reference portfolio following its recent five-yearly review of the benchmark. Co-chief investment officer Brad Dunstan also flags underweight commodity exposure as an area to address and explains why the fund remains sceptical of illiquidity premia despite seeing a growing case for private markets.

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Yale warns on ‘nanny’ reforms

Subjecting money market funds to a bank-like regulatory structure would disrupt the short-term money market and increase systematic risk according to this Yale Law School paper. While risk-limiting reforms are important to ensure the continued safety and security of MMFs, this paper argues major revisions such as the floating NAV requirement or bank-like regulation would

Bolivia to nationalise pensions

The Bolivian Government will nationalise the privately run pension system, with new pension reform law due to be implemented half way through this year. It follows reform from its southern neighbour, Argentina, which nationalised its $24 billion pension fund industry two years ago.mrec4inarticleinline Sponsored Content scnative1 scnative2 scnative3

Too much, too little, too late in alts: CREATE

Pension funds had diversified into alternatives at the wrong time, CREATE’s chief executive, Professor Amin Rajin said, claiming pension funds were taking too long in their decision-making to make the most of opportunities available. mrec4inarticleinline Sponsored Content scnative1 scnative2 scnative3

Asian Funds Passport to foster growth

Across the Asia-Pacific region, interest is growing in the cross-border recognition of registered funds, which would give investors access to a broader range of locally manufactured and regionally distributed products. Establishing a mutually recognised regional funds vehicle would help streamline cross-border recognition, while also encouraging the development of the funds industry across the region. Click

AP3 gets dynamic about risk

Just days before the Swedish AP3 releases its annual results, Amanda White spoke to head of asset management, deputy chief executive, Gustaf Hagerud, about the fund’s new dynamic approach to allocating risk. mrec4inarticleinline Sponsored Content scnative1 scnative2 scnative3

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