Prof Rob Hyndman: Forecasting COVID, time-series, and why causality doesnt matter as much as you think.

Prof Rob Hyndman discusses the interesting elements of his work as editor of the Internal Journal of Forecasting, his work on forecasting COVID for the Australian government, time-series and causality. 

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NZ Super cuts benchmark return expectation on US valuation concerns

NZ Super cuts benchmark return expectation on US valuation concerns

A view that the US stock market is overvalued and equity risk premia will be lower over the long term has driven New Zealand Super to lower the return expectations for its reference portfolio following its recent five-yearly review of the benchmark. Co-chief investment officer Brad Dunstan also flags underweight commodity exposure as an area to address and explains why the fund remains sceptical of illiquidity premia despite seeing a growing case for private markets.

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Pension roll-ins devilishly detailed

As evidence emerges that pension best-practice increasingly manifests in mega-funds, mergers to capitalise on the benefits of economies of scale abound. Amanda White looks behind the scenes of the roll-in of the $3.4 billion state-based Westscheme into the $37 billion AustralianSuper, and finds it’s not as glamorous as it sounds.mrec4inarticleinline Sponsored Content scnative1 scnative2 scnative3

The economics of hedge funds

This collaborative research examines the relationship between hedge fund managers’ fee structures and the amount of risk taken and among other things finds a “high-powered incentive fee” encourages excessive risk-taking, while management fees have the opposite effect.mrec4inarticleinline Sponsored Content scnative1 scnative2 scnative3

Wurts polishes its silver

US consulting firm Wurts & Associates turns 25 this year, so Amanda White spoke to the founder, Bill Wurts, and managing director, Jeff MacLean, about the company’s transformation and the plans for the next quarter of a century.mrec4inarticleinline Sponsored Content scnative1 scnative2 scnative3

Capital ventures forth … cautiously

Everyone likes venture capital. It’s one of the feel-good asset types that fiduciary investors can believe makes a difference to society. Unfortunately, for the past 10 years it has also, on average, lost money.mrec4inarticleinline Sponsored Content scnative1 scnative2 scnative3

Climate-change cloud has silver lining: Mercer

Climate change could slash as much as 10 per cent off portfolios in the next 20 years, according to Mercer’s much-anticipated climate change report, the result of an 18-month collaboration with 14 institutional investors from around the globe.mrec4inarticleinline Sponsored Content scnative1 scnative2 scnative3

CalSTRS plugs holes in neat buckets with risk overlays

CalSTRS will employ a new way of evaluating portfolio risk which overlays risk across asset classes, rather than replacing asset classes with risk categories, and introduces six broad risk factors.mrec4inarticleinline Sponsored Content scnative1 scnative2 scnative3

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