2013 Nobel Prize in economics split three ways

There is no way to predict whether the price of stocks and bonds will go up or down over the next few days or weeks. However, it is quite possible to foresee the broad course of the prices of these assets over longer time periods, such as the next three-to-five years.

These findings, which may seem both surprising and contradictory, were made and analysed by this year’s laureates, Eugene Fama, Lars Peter Hansen and Robert Shiller. Read the winning paper of the 2013 Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences, Trendspotting in asset markets.

Sponsored Content

Leave a Comment

Sort content by

Japan disaster registers shocks on the Macro Scale

The natural disaster in Japan, that has tragically killed more than 3,000 people, caused millions of dollars damage and thrown the Middle East off the front pages, could also mark a pivotal moment in investments, with markets back to being triggered by macro concerns.mrec4inarticleinline Sponsored Content scnative1 scnative2 scnative3

Inflation spectre should scare investors back to text books

Inflation is a big risk for most pension funds around the world. The question is: what do you do about it? The interesting point, though, is if inflation is a ‘fat tail’ risk, maybe it’s already been too widely signalled.mrec4inarticleinline Sponsored Content scnative1 scnative2 scnative3

Funds count costs of external asset management

Cost is the flagrant motivation in the trend for US pension funds to move assets in-house, but as this article explores, budgets also need to extend to the demands of investment research, travel and staff incentive compensation.mrec4inarticleinline Sponsored Content scnative1 scnative2 scnative3

Dutch look ambitiously beyond DB funds

As the social partners in the Netherlands debate the future of the pension system, Amanda White spoke with chief institutional business and deputy CEO at PGGM, Else Bos, about the preferred reform outcome which may be a move towards a “defined ambition” structure, as well as PGGM’s vision of retirement provision which moves beyond just

NZ quake fund skates on very thin reserves

New Zealand’s earthquake disaster relief fund could be completely drained following the fatal 6.3 quake that flattened large swathes of central Christchurch on February 22.mrec4inarticleinline Sponsored Content scnative1 scnative2 scnative3

Bureaucrats must be targeted on climate change: Mercer

Institutional investors need to get more serious in their engagement with policy makers by targeting specific people in environment departments and defining an action plan to tackle climate change risk, according to global head of research, responsible investment at Mercer, Danyelle Guyatt.mrec4inarticleinline Sponsored Content scnative1 scnative2 scnative3

Previous