Fantastic conversation with Igor Halperin around the application of reinforcement learning into forecasting problem, and the limits to data and understanding the world.
LPPI: Keeping AI risk in check
As the risk of an AI bubble grows, LPPI's Richard Tomlinson reflects on how the LGPS pool manages and measures AI exposure. In an interview with Top1000funds.com, he also explains how he has been moulding the fund's investment structure to be fit for a post-LGPS reform future.
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Why China could trigger a Taiwan crisis without firing a shot
Former US deputy national security adviser Matt Pottinger has warned that China could spark “a very serious crisis” in Taiwan without even resorting to a full-scale war – an escalation he said could occur within the current Trump administration.
Wisdom: The jewel in the dirt-pile of intelligence
In his regular column for Top1000funds.com, Tim Hodgson, co-founder of the Thinking Ahead Institute at WTW, reflects on the dangers of unconstrained action, the limits of efficiency, and why long-term sustainability may depend on knowing when not to act.
When states lose the ability to govern, populism rises
Stephen Kotkin, global geopolitical expert and Stanford academic, has warned that there is an “increasing governability challenge in high-income democracies” where government departments face declining capacity to perform core functions due to complex regulatory systems and bureaucratic tasks.
Inside NBIM’s AI playbook to hone investment edge
Norges Bank is a lean organisation despite managing a $2.2 trillion portfolio. Across the fund’s four global offices, there are only 700 staff, or $3 billion per person, which is why it has made pursuing AI-driven efficiency a core organisation initiative – and a non-negotiable requirement for its employees.
Investors unpack regime-based portfolio thinking
Funds are operating in an extraordinary environment, with Scott Chan, chief investment officer of CalSTRS, saying he has never witnessed so many “large shifts stacked on top of the other” in his investment career. Amid the change, investors are increasingly shifting to a scenario and regime-based asset allocation.
AI investors face post-Moore’s Law reality
Mark Horowitz, a leading computer scientist and electrical engineer at Stanford University, has declared that Moore’s Law is “basically over”, which will have significant ramifications for artificial intelligence investors who are counting on more computing power to feed into more complex models.
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