Prof Rob Hyndman discusses the interesting elements of his work as editor of the Internal Journal of Forecasting, his work on forecasting COVID for the Australian government, time-series and causality.
Prof Rob Hyndman: Forecasting COVID, time-series, and why causality doesnt matter as much as you think.
NZ Super cuts benchmark return expectation on US valuation concerns
A view that the US stock market is overvalued and equity risk premia will be lower over the long term has driven New Zealand Super to lower the return expectations for its reference portfolio following its recent five-yearly review of the benchmark. Co-chief investment officer Brad Dunstan also flags underweight commodity exposure as an area to address and explains why the fund remains sceptical of illiquidity premia despite seeing a growing case for private markets.
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Specialised short positions challenge beta behaviour
Long/short funds with specialised short positions have greater beta convexity and present greater liquidity strain in rebalancing, according to new research by Morgan Stanley.mrec4inarticleinline Sponsored Content scnative1 scnative2 scnative3
Danger signs surround quantitative easing solution
If the unavailability of credit is not the source of the US economy’s problems then the quantitative easing solution put forward by the US Federal Reserve could be ineffective at best, and at worst full of danger, according to broker and quantitative research firm, H.C. Wainwright & Co Economics.mrec4inarticleinline Sponsored Content scnative1 scnative2 scnative3
Behind CalPERS’ alternative asset allocation decision
A desire to hedge the portfolio against extreme market risks and rising inflation, has resulted in the $220 billion CalPERS departing from its traditional asset allocation after a year-long review, and introducing the allocation of assets according to five broad groups.mrec4inarticleinline Sponsored Content scnative1 scnative2 scnative3
Fear the Boom and Bust
With a festive tongue firmly in cheek, this video may provide a welcome smile at the end of a challenging year for many fiduciary investors. The global financial crisis triggered a revival in the popularity of interventionist Keynesian economics – but the free marketeers of Friedrich Hayek’s Austrian School won’t give ground easily. Here, Keynes
Agency risk at the fund level … and happy holidays!
If this is a time of year for reflection on a personal level, perhaps with some plans for self-improvement over the next year, whether it be more time with the family, get fit, etc, then it may also be a good time to consider the human element in the management of a fiduciary fund. mrec4inarticleinline
NEST broods on SRI choice
The UK’s National Employment Savings Trust (NEST) will offer members a socially responsible investment fund, one of the first investment decisions the trustee board has made as it finalises its investment strategy.mrec4inarticleinline Sponsored Content scnative1 scnative2 scnative3
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