Thinking about Innovation as the new asset bucket

I had a moment this week where I was utterly absorbed by how indulgent my job can be. I interviewed Tim Hodgson, head of the Thinking Ahead Group at Towers Watson. He gets paid to think, and I was getting paid to talk to him about thinking. Anyway, it’s had a knock-on effect and ever since I’ve been mulling the origination of ideas.It’s admirable that an investment consulting group has a dedicated group of individuals whose job is to challenge the status quo. That in an environment where businesses are pre-occupied with “value add”, it dedicates resources to essentially what is purely research and development (or in other words, a cost centre).

A number of pension funds are looking at how to incorporate new ideas into their investment thinking too, with large institutions such as APG and CalSTRS allocating investments to “innovation” buckets.

In my experience, ideas come randomly. But it is possible to create an environment where ideas are “allowed” to come more easily. Ideas come from never being satisfied with an answer. (In this context ideas are a little misrepresented. Ideas don’t have to be solutions. They can simply be observations, and resisting the urge to solve something can be quite liberating.)

Good ideas challenge and lead, and in speaking about the ideas generation at Towers Watson, Hodgson quotes Henry Ford: “If I had asked people what they wanted, they would have said faster horses.”

Ideas also come with perspective, and perspective comes from time and knowledge. Within this context Hodgson says his group needs to be “networked in to thinkers”, they read widely and have relationships with institutions outside of the industry, such as the Santa Fe Institute, the US science think tank that was the originator of complexity science.

Collectively speaking, ideas come from diversity in thinking. This is convention on well-governed boards, or indeed sports teams, where distinct specialist but complementary skills imply the whole is greater than the sum of its parts. This is true of the Thinking Ahead Group (TAG) where all the individuals approach an idea from a different angle.

Sponsored Content

They recognise that the world is interconnected – that politics, economics, society, environment, technology and finance all interact on almost all issues in many different ways. “There are very few self-contained problems,” he says.

An example is Hodgson’s approach to thinking about sustainability.

“We do work on this but there are some questions we haven’t worked on, and I would say my thinking is not yet complete. If growth is linked to physical elements then in the long term the sustainability of growth is about 0 per cent per annum because there are finite resources. This may be over the very long term, and then I wonder if homo sapiens are wired for long-term thinking?”

TAG is tasked with trying to improve the investment map to make it more detailed and useful. TAG is brimming with competing forces: its ideas need to be as global and generic as possible, and its members are specialists at generalism.

“We are trying to create more accurate mental models to better describe how the world works, then we can make better decisions, and better decisions are more profitable,” he says.

It was also Henry Ford who said “thinking is the hardest work there is, which is probably the reason so few engage in it.”

Leave a Comment

Sort content by

Quality factor explained by profitability: Robert Novy-Marx

Among academic classifications, and the subsequent implementation of factor investing, “quality” is one of the newer areas of investigation. Robert Novy-Marx, the Lori and Alan S. Zekelman Professor of Finance at the University of Rochester, is leading the charge on the academic justification of quality as a factor, although he has a “jaded scepticism” about

How to allocate assets to combat climate risk

  Mercer’s extensive climate change report, launched today, gives investors a practical framework for monitoring and managing climate risk, shifting the discussion from philosophical agreement to practical investment implementation.   In Investing in a time of climate change Mercer outlines extensive dynamic investment modelling that analyses changes in the return expectations of assets between 2015

Behind Norway’s coal divestment

The Norwegian Parliament’s finance committee recommendations to direct the Government Pension Fund Global to divest from companies that generate more than 30 per cent of their output or revenue from coal-related activities, is the evolution of a climate-related investment strategy that dates back to 2010. Amanda White explores the raft of tools the fund uses

CalPERS gives its managers ESG ultimatum

In what promises to be a transformational moment for ESG integration and investment manager accountability, CalPERS will require all of its managers to identify and articulate ESG in their investment processes. CalPERS staff led by Anne Simpson, senior portfolio manager and director of global governance, presented the ESG manager expectations, and draft sustainable investment guidelines,

Sourcing liquidity in fragmented markets

As equity trading becomes more fragmented, and more trading is done outside exchanges, it is prudent to assess whether alternative liquidity pools contribute to well-functioning markets. Norges Bank Investment Management has done the work for you, analysing the contributions, structures and functions of trading venues with limited pre-trade transparency. One of the benefits of liquidity

Factors the same in credit and equities

Robeco will launch the world’s first multi-factor credit fund, after academic research by its quantitative research team reveals that size, low-risk, value and momentum factors have economically meaningful and statistically significant risk-adjusted returns in the corporate bond market. David Blitz, co-head of quantitative strategies at Robeco in Rotterdam, tells Amanda White why an active approach makes

Previous