Chinese growth ‘seductive’ warns Towers Watson

The China growth story is seducing many institutional investors, in theory. But in practice many investors still don’t know the best strategy for investment in the region. Yvonne Sin, head of investment consulting China for Towers Watson, spoke to Amanda White about some of the options.

Most investors are accessing the growth opportunities of China through their emerging markets exposure. Like other emerging markets China has some country-specific challenges and risks which make due diligence, and manager selection, all the more important.

There are a number of ways to access the Chinese share market – the domestic equity market or “A” shares has about $3.6 trillion, of which about half is free-float.

But institutional investors can also access some of these companies through their dual listing on the Hong Kong exchange, the “H” market.

There is also the “B” market which is small and illiquid.

Sponsored Content

Head of investment consulting China for Towers Watson, Yvonne Sin, says the Hong Kong stock market is a conduit for accessing China. For those Chinese-listed companies that also list on the Hong Kong exchange it provides investors with a more familiar legal structure, more transparent and relatively-corruption free environment.

“It gives investors confidence in investing in China,” she said.

But listed equities are one type only of investment opportunity and many investors are looking to the private markets.

“In the private markets there have been a lot of foreign direct investments, from investors that want to take advantage of the economic boom. But it is not capital that China wants or needs.

“China has the largest foreign reserve in the world, they don’t want money, they want knowledge and technical assistance,” Sin said.

While westerners have knowledge, there are many challenges to overcome in the exchange of that information. If you speak to anyone with a knowledge of investment in the region, they say westerners cannot come to China and expect to do business as they are used to it.

“It is usually a condition of collaboration that you share, and westerners are worried about that,” she says. “And I guess you have to consider how much you want it as to whether you accept that.”

If investors are not large, or dedicated enough, to have people on the ground themselves, Sin recommends that a gatekeeper – or screen – for manager selection, someone based on the ground, with local knowledge, as an essential ingredient.

Transparency, also, remains an issue.

There is a lot of private money in China and disclosure and transparency for those investors is not at the same requirements for public pension funds.

Sin, who was previously the World Bank advisor to the Ministry of Finance and Social Security for China, believes if China is serious about becoming a world power it will have to get to OECD standards in transparency, disclosure and regulatory requirements.

However, she also says, the West needs to be patient. Is it only 30 years since China has opened , and it has achieved a lot in that relatively short time.

“You have to switch sides and think of it from the Chinese government point of view. Money is flowing in. Is there any rush to be more transparent? They need time to do it.”

At the moment, Sin concedes that very few public pension funds around the globe single out China as a specific percentage allocation in their investment strategy, but perhaps that will change.

“Perhaps for now that is right, but having a first entry is fairly important. In the next 10 years it might make sense to have a dedicated China exposure. It makes sense to be capturing the third-largest economy in the world.”

Leave a Comment

Sort content by

Agent provocateur

Paul Smith, the Hong Kong based chief executive of the Global CFA Society is on an evangelical mission to change the culture within the investment industry. Not only is he looking to curb the frequency of excess behaviour that leaves the public cynical of high paid finance professionals, but he is a persuasive advocate for

Do long-term mandates produce better results?

About 11 years ago, the Towers Watson’s Thinking Ahead Group came up with the concept of investors appointing managers for 10-year mandates. The consulting arm then started talking to clients about it in 2004/05 and the early mandates have now matured. So did it work? Do longer-term mandates produce outperformance, better behaviour and more security?

GRESB infrastructure launch

A new infrastructure sustainability benchmark has been developed by a group of eight institutional investors, alongside GRESB, to enable systematic evaluation and industry benchmarking of the sustainability performance of their infrastructure assets.   Despite large and widespread allocations by Canadian and Australian pension funds to infrastructure, institutional investors globally do not have large allocations to

Frozen by the entanglement of risk

Equity prices in continental Europe and emerging markets, including China, are below fair value, and present an opportunity for investors, but the ‘entanglement of risk’ in current markets is making Brian Singer, partner and head of dynamical allocation strategies team, William Blair cautious. William Blair typically targets around 10 per cent volatility in its portfolios,

Exchanges need to adapt to institutional demands: Norges

Institutional investors now dominate the free float holdings of listed companies and exchanges need to adapt to this enduring change in market structure and investor needs, according to Norges Bank Investment Management, manager of the $818 billion Norwegian sovereign wealth fund. Norges Bank, which itself owns around 1 per cent of the world’s listed stock,

Dalio says Fed should focus on secular forces

The US Federal Reserve is not paying enough attention to secular forces affecting the market, according to chairman and founder of Bridgewater, Ray Dalio, who says the “risks of the world being at or near the end of its long-term debt cycle are significant”. In an opinion piece posted on LinkedIn, The Dangerous Long Bias

Previous