The Latest
Research

Systemic tail risk

A research paper by executives at the Dutch Central Bank, De Nederlandsche Bank, examines tail risk, and shows that historical tail betas are able to capture the sensitivity to future systematic tail risk.   The paper can be downloaded here  Systemic tail risk
WPF Risk Summit

Agency risk in US public funds a formula for disaster

Agency risk in public pension funds is a big problem waiting to surface, according to Britt Harris, chief investment officer of the Teachers Retirement System of Texas. “In terms of beliefs, you have to decide whether the pension system is a profit centre for beneficiaries or a political system to influence outcomes,” he says. “Also […]
In Conversation

Tail risk parity, V 1.0

Just when you thought you were safe, the next reiteration of risk parity has arrived. AllianceBernstein’s tail risk parity takes the concept of risk parity, reallocating assets uniformly according to risk, but it uses tail risk, not volatility, as the core measure. The concept of risk parity is a portfolio diversified according to risk, rather […]
Investor Profile

How is the Tesco fund faring aged one?

According to the latest figures, an ambitious turnaround plan at the United Kingdom’s biggest supermarket chain, Tesco, has helped reverse falling profits. Last year the retailer, one of Britain’s largest private sector employers and a landmark in every town since founder Jack Cohen opened his first store in North London in 1929, also changed strategy […]
Research

How Norway’s SWF deals with FX tail risk

From a risk management perspective, tail risks and return distribution asymmetries of investments are important to analyse. Norges Bank Investment Management (NBIM) in this note describes a modelling approach that addresses some of the weaknesses of standard risk models. It uses the model internally as a complement to standard models to evaluate tail risk in foreign-exchange […]
Research

Tail risk and hedge fund returns

This paper by academics at Erasmus University and the University of Chicago shows that hedge funds exhibit persistent exposures to extreme downside risk, and that tail risk is an important determinant of the time-series and cross-section variation of hedge fund returns. Further it concludes that these results are consistent with the notion that a significant […]
Research

Risk-based dynamic asset allocation

This paper proposes a unique dynamic portfolio construction framework that improves portfolio performance by adjusting asset allocation in accordance with a forecast market risk. It finds that modifying asset allocation to the market risk barometer offers investors the “promising opportunity” to meaningfully enhance portfolio performance across market environments.   To access the paper click below […]