This research paper by MSCI defines macro-economic risk as the change in asset value due to persistent shocks to real economic growth. This definition underscores the role of long horizons in macroeconomic risk and the principal issue facing investors: how should asset allocation respond to large macroeconomic shocks, given that their consequences are likely to be resolved over long time periods? VIEW THIS PAPER
Singapore’s two largest asset owners, GIC and Temasek, see attractive opportunities in climate adaptation solutions – a relatively underfunded area compared to decarbonisation. The former has already made selective adaptation investments and said the opportunity set across public and private debt and equity could increase to $9 trillion by 2050.
Incorporating impact into a risk/return framework creates additional dimensionality and significantly increasing the complexity of the portfolio design challenge. David Bell from The Conexus Institute explores the technical challenge of navigating the 3-D investment framework.
Stephen Kotkin, the John P Birkelund Professor in History and International Affairs, Princeton University, cites the many risks of investing in China.
A new paper outlines how investors can align their portfolio to science-based carbon budgets consistent with 1.5 degrees of warming.
The traditional 60/40 portfolio allocation is no longer enough. The opportunity for alpha is not gone, but the low-hanging fruit has long been harvested, and the path toward higher absolute returns has gotten far more nuanced according to a new report from the Chartered Alternative Investment Analyst (CAIA)
Asset owners increasingly encourage their asset managers to improve diversity, but both owners and managers report the need to grow diverse talent coming into the investment industry, according to recent research.
Joe Biden will win the US election according to a technique used in finance to predict factor returns and the correlation of stock and bond returns. The technique, outlined in an MIT working paper, correctly predicted the past five elections, including 2016.
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