Does finance theory make the case for capitalisation-weighted indexing?

Through their momentum properties, cap-weighted indices favour the emergence of speculative bubbles, according to research by EDHEC-Risk Institute, which concludes cap-weighted stock market indices offer no particular advantage.

Felix Goltz
Felix Goltz

According to the research by Feliz Goltz, head of applied research at EDHEC and senior research engineer, Veronique Le Sourd, financial theory alone does not justify the current practice of cap-weighting.

“In the presence of realistic constraints and frictions, cap-weighted indices cannot according to the academic literature, be expected to be efficient investments,” the research paper said.

The research, which examines academic literature, explores whether the market portfolio is still efficient if one of the assumptions on which the model relied does not bear out. It also questions if a market index can serve as a valid proxy for the market portfolio.

“Financial theory, despite widely-held views to the contrary, does not support investment in these types of indices. It is therefore urgent for investors to seek alternatives to these indices which are justified by neither fact nor theory.”

Sponsored Content

Click here for the EDHEC Risk Publication Capitalisation-Weighted Indexing (pdf)

Leave a Comment

GIC, Temasek eye trillions of growth in climate adaptation market

GIC, Temasek eye trillions of growth in climate adaptation market

Singapore’s two largest asset owners, GIC and Temasek, see attractive opportunities in climate adaptation solutions – a relatively underfunded area compared to decarbonisation. The former has already made selective adaptation investments and said the opportunity set across public and private debt and equity could increase to $9 trillion by 2050.

Sort content by

Industry vs country factors in global equity markets

The relative strengths of industry versus country factors can be of major importance for global equity portfolio managers. If country effects dominate, then primary consideration can be given to the country allocation decision. On the other hand, if global economic integration is reducing the distinctions between countries, then an industry-first investment process may be more

Allocating assets in climates of extreme risk

This research by MSCI provides “material extensions” of the standard stress testing methodology of portfolios. It provides a quantitative method to modify asset allocation weights in a stress scenario, and a new paradigm for translating extreme events into asset class scenarios. mrec4inarticleinline Sponsored Content scnative1 scnative2 scnative3

Socially Responsible Investing and Expecting Stock Returns

At the Q Group Spring seminar, this paper by Sudheer Chava, College of Management, Georgia Institute of Technology finds that investors demand significantly higher expected returns on stocks excluded by enviornmental screens widely used by socially responsible investors, compared to firms without environmental concerns.mrec4inarticleinline Sponsored Content scnative1 scnative2 scnative3

Accounting and sponsor risks in corporate pension plans

This study by EDHEC surveys how pension funds and sponsors manage the risks they face and how institutional constraints – accounting and prudential regulations, the organisation of the relationship between the pension fund and its sponsor, and social laws – influence investment strategy.mrec4inarticleinline Sponsored Content scnative1 scnative2 scnative3

Asset allocation and asset pricing in the face of systemic risk

This paper provides a detailed overview of the current research linking systemic risk, financial crises and contagion effects among assets on the one hand with asset allocation and asset pricing theory on the other hand. mrec4inarticleinline Sponsored Content scnative1 scnative2 scnative3

Volatility cycles of value stocks

This MSCI research examines the volatility cycle of value stocks, shedding light on the changes in relative contributions of value and non-value portfolios to total risk.mrec4inarticleinline Sponsored Content scnative1 scnative2 scnative3

Previous