The Democrats Are Shifting Toward a New Policy Consensus. Two of These Shifts Will Be Particularly Important for Markets.

We are now at a turning point, with Democrats controlling both legislative chambers and the presidency, and an emerging concensus among Democratic policy makers and their advisors that enables fiscal spending that is both significant in size and ambitious in scope. Later this year, we expect to see the first expansionary fiscal package centered around the pursuing long-term social, environmental, and competitiveness policy goals (following the more immediate COVID recovery package). In these Observations, we explore two key shifts in Democrats’ thinking underlying these policy proposals, which we expect will be sustained well beyond this fiscal package.

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