Prof Rob Hyndman discusses the interesting elements of his work as editor of the Internal Journal of Forecasting, his work on forecasting COVID for the Australian government, time-series and causality.
Prof Rob Hyndman: Forecasting COVID, time-series, and why causality doesnt matter as much as you think.
NZ Super cuts benchmark return expectation on US valuation concerns
A view that the US stock market is overvalued and equity risk premia will be lower over the long term has driven New Zealand Super to lower the return expectations for its reference portfolio following its recent five-yearly review of the benchmark. Co-chief investment officer Brad Dunstan also flags underweight commodity exposure as an area to address and explains why the fund remains sceptical of illiquidity premia despite seeing a growing case for private markets.
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Switzerland’s rail fund SBB takes on more risk
Convinced higher interest rates signpost higher anticipated returns ahead, Pensionskasse SBB, the Bern-based pension fund for employees of Switzerland’s state-owned railway company, will increase its equity allocation including private equity. It plans to add managers in both public and private equity.
Temasek’s approach to AI: Support portfolio companies create value
Temasek's CIO Rohit Sipahimalani explains the investor is approaching opportunities in generative AI by focusing on supporting portfolio companies apply the technology so they can better create value.
Norway SWF tops list of most transparent funds globally
Government Pension Fund Global, Norway’s giant sovereign wealth fund, has topped the list of the most transparent funds in the 2023 Global Pension Transparency Benchmark, beating last year’s winner CPP Investments by only one point.
Canada, The Netherlands lead the way on pension transparency
Canada is a standout in the transparency of pension fund reporting, topping the list of countries for the third year in a row. The top five countries were rounded out by The Netherlands, Australia, Sweden and the United Kingdom.
GPTB 2023: The funds that excelled
The highest scoring funds overall in the 2023 Global Pension Transparency Benchmark were also among the biggest improvers. Both Norway’s Government Pension Fund Global and AustralianSuper increased their scores by 14 points and were the biggest improvers in the top 10. Others included CDPQ, CalPERS, and PFZW.
Transparency improvements but more work needed on cost disclosure
This year's GPTB scores reveals an improvement across all of the four value-generating measures of cost, governance, performance and responsible investment, but cost transparency remains a laggard.
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