A research paper by executives at the Dutch Central Bank, De Nederlandsche Bank, examines tail risk, and shows that historical tail betas are able to capture the sensitivity to future systematic tail risk.
The paper can be downloaded here
Research
GIC, Temasek eye trillions of growth in climate adaptation market
Singapore’s two largest asset owners, GIC and Temasek, see attractive opportunities in climate adaptation solutions – a relatively underfunded area compared to decarbonisation. The former has already made selective adaptation investments and said the opportunity set across public and private debt and equity could increase to $9 trillion by 2050.
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Public pension governance and asset allocation
This paper from Matt Dobra and Bruce Lubich, of the Methodist University in North Carolina and the University of Maryland University College, respectively, analyses the relationship between governance, asset allocation, and risk among state and local government-operated pension systems in the United States of America. It is argued that governance influences investment decisions and risk profiles of public
A Framework for Examining Asset Allocation Alpha
Recognising that different asset allocation portfolios are suitable for investors with different needs, Jason Hsu and Omid Shakernia think it is probably too ambitious to establish a unifying structure for determining benchmark asset allocation portfolios. Instead, they propose a framework for thinking about asset allocation alpha, assuming that investors have suitably determined their asset allocation policy portfolio. And the framework is:
A healthier way to de-risk
Defined-benefit funds all over the world are focused on de-risking but the amount of innovation and players to meet this demand is wanting. Until now. A new report by the Pensions Institute at the Cass Business School examines the emergence of medically enhanced, underwritten or enhanced, bulk buy-ins, in which trustees buy a bulk annuity
GTAA and institutional investment management
The $70 billion AIMCo uses global tactical asset allocation to help add return in excess of passive portfolios. This research piece details how it has used GTAA over the past few years, advising other funds that executing a successful GTAA requires developing world-class talent, systems, process and governance. To access the paper click below
How Norway’s SWF deals with FX tail risk
From a risk management perspective, tail risks and return distribution asymmetries of investments are important to analyse. Norges Bank Investment Management (NBIM) in this note describes a modelling approach that addresses some of the weaknesses of standard risk models. It uses the model internally as a complement to standard models to evaluate tail risk in foreign-exchange
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