The Latest
Research

Systemic tail risk

A research paper by executives at the Dutch Central Bank, De Nederlandsche Bank, examines tail risk, and shows that historical tail betas are able to capture the sensitivity to future systematic tail risk.   The paper can be downloaded here  Systemic tail risk
Investor Profile

UMR: growth from government bonds?

“We have to move faster than our competitors,” says the chief executive of French retirement fund Union Mutualiste Retraite, Charles Vaquier. It is a phrase that you can hear uttered by business leaders at all sectors and levels, but one that institutional investors rarely emphasise. In chatting about its investment strategy, it soon becomes apparent […]
Research

US Department of Treasury surveys systemic risk

Part of the mandate given to US regulators by the Dodd Frank Act is to measure and monitor systemic risk, but more than one risk measure is needed to capture the complex and adaptive nature of the financial system. The Office of Financial Research, part of the US Department of Treasury, has put together a […]
In Conversation

Former SEC head hits out at Dodd-Frank

Former head of the US Securities Exchange Commission, Harvey L Pitt, has one simple piece of advice for investors wondering if, a year after the sweeping Dodd-Frank reforms were enacted, regulation has been adequately strengthened to avoid another financial crisis.
Research

The changing role of hedge funds in the global economy

According to the modelling in this paper, a modest allocation to hedge funds would improve the returns to US public pension funds by about $13 billion annually. It also shows that the track record of hedge funds in recent years illustrates that hedge funds have not been “an important source of systemic risk”.
Research

How passive investing increases market vulnerability

This new research, to be published in the FAJ, shows that the rise in popularity in indexing, through passive mutual funds and ETFs, contributes to higher systematic market risk. It shows, consistent with the accelerating growth of passive investing, that equity betas have not only risen but converged in recent years.
In Conversation

The evolution of risk

Chief investment officer of Windham Capital Management and researcher extraordinaire, Mark Kritzman, is using his proprietary turbulence and systemic risk indicators to calculate the internal systemic risk of total institutional portfolios. He says this analysis can deliver a powerful precursor to portfolio volatility in the future.
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