Transition risks of net zero

The transition to net zero is well underway, but it won’t be a smooth path and getting there will pose significant risks for investors. These are the conclusions of a new report by Pictet Asset Management and the Institute of International Finance. It will require higher levels of borrowing by the companies they invest in; the risk of transition-related “greenflation”, along with increases in unemployment; and the possibility of creating asset-price bubbles as a vast amount of capital chases a relatively constrained supply of assets.

To avoid these pitfalls and others, investors must take a measured approach to assessing opportunities as they arise, including assessing the extent to which markets have already priced-in the “greenness” of companies, and what implications that has for alpha generation. And that requires deep research and confidence in available data – which in some cases continues to be patchy.

Pictet Asset Management senior investment manager Yuko Takano, managing investment director, sustainable investments at CalPERS Peter Cashion and Institute of International Finance director Emre Tiftik discuss the opportunities and risks investors need to understand to maximise returns as the energy transition progresses.

In conversation with Top1000funds.com editor Amanda White, they discuss how it’s possible to generate outperformance by investing in climate solutions; and how investors should think about the associated risk and alpha opportunities.

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CPP outlines risk playbook for a new world order

CPP outlines risk playbook for a new world order

The $570 billion CPP Investments is strengthening efforts around scenario analysis as volatile fiscal, geopolitical and economic risk factors plunge the macro environment into a state of flux, with the fund naming four scenarios for the future world order within its risk management framework.

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At a glance: FIS Cambridge day three

An overwhelming number of delegates at the Fiduciary Investors Symposium said the funds management industry was not doing well in innovationMartin Gilbert, who started Aberdeen Standard Investments in 1983 and is now chair, said industry participants needed to innovate and disrupt themselves.

Different ways to navigate risk

Institutional investors are navigating the different risks that can impact their portfolios in different ways, explained chief risk offers speaking at the Fiduciary Investors Symposium in Cambridge. Arjen Pasma, chief risk officer at Dutch asset manager PGGM noted how risks span investment risk, counterparty risk, liquidity risk and ESG risk. Measuring ESG risk in the manager’s large allocation to private markets where each deal is scored on ESG and climate risk is particularly important, he said.

How to build innovation

Innovation is more important than ever given the uncertain and ambiguous times that lie ahead for institutional investors like climate change, political dysfunction and poor returns. “Returns can only come from an ecosystem that works and we need innovation to do this,” said Roger Urwin, global head of investment content, Willis Towers Watson speaking at the Fiduciary Investors Symposium at Cambridge University.

Climate change risk to spur stress test

Mercer has quantified a ‘low-carbon transition’ premium in the sequel to its seminal climate change report, showing that a 2⁰C scenario equates to 11 basis points per annum to 2030 in a typical growth portfolio.

Long-term investors must engage

Long-term infrastructure investors need to engage with the public and do much more to build trust in the value of their capital, said Brett Himbury, chief executive, IFM Investors (Australia), the global infrastructure manager, owned by 27 leading pension funds with $120 billion AUM.

A practical guide to the long-term

Thinking and acting long-term and holding their service providers to account on long-term risk behaviours and measures, is one of asset owners’ most enduring challenges. Speaking at the Fiduciary Investors Symposium at Cambridge University a panel of experts highlighted important tools asset owners can deploy to ensure they stay focused on the long-term.

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