Big data, ESG ratings help find alpha

It is possible to unlock significant positive alpha using a combination of big data and traditional ESG ratings.
By combining big data and analyst-driven ESG information, investors can identify value opportunities in ESG and construct a strategy that delivers alpha while investing in companies with superior ESG performance scores. The combination yields significant positive alpha of about 4-5 per cent annually.
My paper “Public sentiment and the price of corporate sustainability” analyses data for the years 2009-18 provided by MSCI and TruValue Labs, the pioneer in artificial intelligence-driven ESG data. I use MSCI ratings for ESG performance due to their industry-wide prevalence and employ TruValue Labs’ data to find sentiment in semantic big data for ESG topics.
ESG ratings were paired with TruValue Labs’ sentiment data about a company’s sustainability performance. That data is drawn from sophisticated sources, including industry analysts, non-government organisations, media reports and think-tank analysis. The alpha came from a strategy of going long on firms with strong ESG performance and negative TruValue Labs’ ESG Momentum performance; there was also alpha found by going short on firms with the reverse.
The first main result of the research shows the price of companies that display sustainability performance has increased over time. This is the estimated premium (if positive) or discount (if negative) that firms with better sustainability performance trade at relative to peers after accounting for several factors such as current profitability, size, leverage, past returns and other firm characteristics. This is good news for companies that perform better on material sustainability dimensions (as defined by MSCI), as the market rewards them with a higher multiple.
This higher multiple is even greater in the presence of positive public sentiment about a company’s sustainability performance from these sophisticated sources, as captured by TruValue Labs. In the presence of negative sentiment, a firm’s sustainability performance is largely discounted.
This has fundamental implications for how chief sustainability officers and business leaders work with the broader ecosystem. The higher price of corporate sustainability poses a challenge for ESG investors: they need to ask if they are getting good value for money. It is not only a matter of the value of corporate sustainability anymore, it is also a function of the price you are paying for it. Value for price is key.
I believe this research highlights the next stage in the evolution of ESG data and shows the power of combining traditional ratings with new, innovative datasets to fully understand the contribution of intangible value to firm valuations.

George Serafeim is a professor of business administration at Harvard Business School.

Sponsored Content

Leave a Comment

La Caisse’s oil exit pays off as renewables portfolio pulls ahead of fossil fuels

La Caisse’s oil exit pays off as renewables portfolio pulls ahead of fossil fuels

Divesting from the oil sector has been a boon for La Caisse’s performance, as the Canadian pension giant says its energy investments have earned billions in value-add compared to the benchmark since the inception of its climate strategy. Head of sustainability Bertrand Millot unpacks the fund’s approach in an interview with Top1000funds.com.

Sort content by

Davos 2020 for institutional investors

The World Economic Forum’s annual shindig in the Swiss alpine resort of Davos was all about sustainability in 2020 with some specific outtakes for investors around carbon. There were other lessons for investors too, like caution around illiquid assets and the perils of negative yielding debt.

Brunel’s plan for a new financial system

The UK’s £30 billion Brunel Pension Partnership is taking investing in a carbon zero future to a whole new level. It has just published a far-reaching Climate Change Policy filled with actions and deadlines linked to the goals of the Paris Agreement.

Behind BlackRock’s climate pledge

Last week BlackRock’s Larry Fink announced the company would put climate change centre-stage across its $7 trillion portfolio after what critics have called years of prevarication. Sarah Rundell looks behind what the statement could mean in practice.

Australia’s climate emergency

In the midst of the worst bushfires in Australia's history, CEO of the PRI, Fiona Reynolds, an Australian living in London is calling on investors to play a leading role in encouraging governments to be ambitious in their climate policy.

CalPERS board’s divestment dilemmas

The merits of tracking divested dollars, and the value of data illustrating what the pension fund has missed out on was the topic of much debate at the December CalPERS board meeting. In 2021 the fund will review six divestment programs across tobacco, firearms, coal, Iran, Sudan and emerging market equity principles.

Investors and climate in 2020

As global temperatures rise, so does investment risk. Investors cannot afford to ignore climate change in 2020, says CEO of CDP, Paul Simpson

Previous