Redefining indexes to reflect reality

The investment industry should be constantly looking at the impact of technology on the status quo. Just because indexes have been defined as cap-weighted portfolios, doesn’t mean that can’t change. In fact, the evolution in portfolio management necessitates a change in thinking with regard to the definition of indexes, in particular so risk management can be decoupled from alpha generation. In a new paper that argues for a new definition of what constitutes an index, Andrew Lo, professor of finance at MIT Sloan School of Management pushes the boundaries by not only suggesting change, but by demonstrating a new functional definition for indexes and the benefits, and pitfalls, of doing so.

Technological advances in telecommunications, securities exchanges and algorithmic trading have facilitated a host of new investment products that resemble theme-based passive indexes but which depart from traditional market-cap-weighted portfolios.

Lo proposes broadening the definition of an index using a functional perspective. He says that any portfolio strategy that satisfies three properties should be considered an index:

(1) It is completely transparent

(2) It is investable

(3) It is systematic, or it is entirely rules-based and contains no judgment or unique investment skill.

Sponsored Content

He says that portfolios satisfying these properties that are not market-cap-weighted are given a new name: “dynamic indexes”.

“This functional definition widens the universe of possibilities and, most importantly, decouples risk management from alpha generation. Passive strategies can and should be actively risk managed, and I provide a simple example of how this can be achieved,” he says in the paper.

“Dynamic indexes also create new challenges of which the most significant is backtest bias, and I conclude with a proposal for managing this risk.”

Lo’s paper looks at a brief history of indexes and index funds, defines an index and looks at the separation of alpha, beta and sigma.

He says that indexes have evolved over time and today, indexes serve many purposes. In addition to their original function of information compression, indexes act as indicators of time-varying risk versus reward, and as a benchmark for performance evaluation, attribution and enhancements. And since the advent of the Capital Asset Pricing Model, indexes have been used to construct passive investment vehicles and as building blocks for portfolio management.

But, as Lo and many others have pointed out, the advent of “smart beta” need not be smart at all.

He says that the lack of risk management – or the fact “smart beta” is often accompanied by “dumb sigma” – is perhaps the greatest weakness of traditional passive investing.

“A new framework is needed for thinking about indexes, indexation, and the distinction between active and passive investing that reflects the new reality of technology-leveraged investing.

“The starting point for this new framework is to generalize the definition of a financial index by focusing on its basic function. If an index is to be used as a benchmark against which managers are judged, it must have three key characteristics: it is transparent, investable, and systematic.”

 

To access the full paper click here

What is an index?

Leave a Comment

GIC, Temasek eye trillions of growth in climate adaptation market

GIC, Temasek eye trillions of growth in climate adaptation market

Singapore’s two largest asset owners, GIC and Temasek, see attractive opportunities in climate adaptation solutions – a relatively underfunded area compared to decarbonisation. The former has already made selective adaptation investments and said the opportunity set across public and private debt and equity could increase to $9 trillion by 2050.

Sort content by

Investor pitfalls in setting up a satellite office

As part of the broader trend to become professional organisations, pension funds and soverieng wealth funds are expanding geographically with the establishment of satellite offices. This expansion raises concerns of governance, culture, politics and talent. This paper looks at the case studies from 12 funds that have launched or considering launching satellite offices and offers

The Determinants of Pension Funds’ Allocation to Private Equity

This paper by the French National Center for Scientific Research (CNRS) investigates the main determinants of pension funds investment in private equity funds, and particularly in venture capital and leverage buyouts in the US and Canada over the 1996-2011 period. The results show some important differences between pension funds allocating to private equity and more traditional assets. The first ones are

Recasting private equity after the financial crisis

This article published by the European Corporate Governance and written by Tilburg University academics examines the post-financial crisis trends in the private equity industry, showing investors are demanding the inclusion of more investor-favorable compensation terms in limited partnership agreements. The findings suggest these new terms not only provide the investors with more favorable management fee and profit

Systemic tail risk

A research paper by executives at the Dutch Central Bank, De Nederlandsche Bank, examines tail risk, and shows that historical tail betas are able to capture the sensitivity to future systematic tail risk.   The paper can be downloaded here  Systemic tail riskmrec4inarticleinline Sponsored Content scnative1 scnative2 scnative3

Is Bitcoin a real currency?

Analysis of Bitcoin’s historical trading behaviour shows it has exchange rate volatility an order of magnitude higher than the volatilities of widely used currencies, undermining its usefulness as a unit of account or a store of value. Bitcoin’s daily exchange rates exhibit virtually zero correlation with bona fide currencies, making it useless for risk management

The price and performance of wine

Because it’s nearly Christmas, and conexust1f.flywheelstaging.com will close down for the holidays, we thought this research piece was apt. Elroy Dimson, Peter L. Rousseau, and Christophe Spaenjers, have looked at the impact of aging on wine prices and the performance of wine as a long-term investment, using a unique historical database for five long-established Bordeaux

Previous