Gavin Cassar from The Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania, and Joseph Gerakos at the Booth School of Business, University of Chicago, investigate the determinants and effectiveness of methods that hedge funds use to manage portfolio risk. They find that levered funds are more likely to use formal models to evaluate portfolio risk.
HowDoHedgeFundsManagePortfolioRisk
The landscape for this kind of trading has changed tremendously. Thirty years ago there was only 200 million professionally managed trading these futures contracts, today there is roughly 200 billion. When the funds ( managed futures ) pull the plug these days there is an avalanche of money hitting the exit door. As a result, volatility has increased. In addition, Commodity Futures Trading Commission growth has not kept up with the growth of the industry and they are consequently understaffed and unequipped to deal with today’s marketplace. Play at your own risk.
Singapore’s two largest asset owners, GIC and Temasek, see attractive opportunities in climate adaptation solutions – a relatively underfunded area compared to decarbonisation. The former has already made selective adaptation investments and said the opportunity set across public and private debt and equity could increase to $9 trillion by 2050.
From a risk management perspective, tail risks and return distribution asymmetries of investments are important to analyse. Norges Bank Investment Management (NBIM) in this note describes a modelling approach that addresses some of the weaknesses of standard risk models. It uses the model internally as a complement to standard models to evaluate tail risk in foreign-exchange
This research paper by MSCI defines macro-economic risk as the change in asset value due to persistent shocks to real economic growth. This definition underscores the role of long horizons in macroeconomic risk and the principal issue facing investors: how should asset allocation respond to large macroeconomic shocks, given that their consequences are likely to
In the paper Pension Funds, Sovereign-wealth Funds and Intergenerational Justice from the Norwegian School of Economics, those Scandinavians have come up with something better than the national alcohol monopoly: a natty new finance term. “Intergenerational justice” (try saying it thrice after a glass of aquavit) seems to refer to a combination of two things: a
When Hurricane Sandy descended on the east coast of the United States and headed inland, it forced the closure of all the nation’s financial markets. Christopher Finger and Oleg Ruben at MSCI thought this was important because, although there are plenty of precedents for natural disasters in terms of economic impact, the storm was singular
Moving with business cycles, procyclical stocks have been found to yield higher average returns than countercyclical stocks. William Goetzmann and Akiko and Masahiro Watanabe use 50 years of real GDP growth expectations from economists’ surveys to determine forecasted economic states in order to avoid the effects of econometric forecasting model error. The scholars created a
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