Change how we think

The big macro changes that have taken place over the last year require a rethink and action from investment professionals.

If we think about how investment risk changed in 2020, we can’t of course ignore the impact of COVID-19, but another risk has simultaneously been brought more into the spotlight – climate risk. That is, the physical, transition, legal and reputation risks associated with climate change and the growing recognition of the need to move to a lower carbon economy.

Climate risk is increasingly material to pension funds, both through asset holdings and liabilities, but also in relation to a sponsor’s covenant and the attitudes of members who may have to live with the physical impacts of climate change. Disclosure requirements are also multiplying.

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A post-COVID economy

A post-COVID economy

The big difference between the vaccine rollouts and the scale of the stimulus measures across the world could result in a K-shaped global economic recovery, with much of the developed world booming but poorer countries continuing to struggle. However the

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Global economic outlook – a strong rebound, but scars will remain

Two forces will drive a strong rebound in the global economy over the next three years: widespread vaccine roll-out allowing a progressive easing of lock-downs, and additional large scale US fiscal stimulus.

Extracting growth alpha in emerging markets

Institutional allocations to emerging markets (EM) equities have increased steadily since the 1980s1, as the asset class has evolved from frontier investment to growth mainstay.

Data, decarbonization and the travel recovery

Three themes driving infrastructure are setting up a potentially strong vintage year, coinciding with stimulus programs focusing attention on the asset class.

Biden infrastructure plan

In this exclusive interview for Truthout, one of the world’s leading progressive economists, Robert Pollin, explains what Biden’s economic plan means for the majority of American people and how it will help create a somewhat fairer tax system.

Selling fast and buying slow: Heuristics and trading performance of institutional investors

Are market experts prone to heuristics, and if so, do they transfer across closely related domains—buying and selling? We investigate this question using a unique dataset of institutional investors with portfolios averaging $573 million.

Alpha Decay

Using a novel sample of professional asset managers, we document positive incremental alpha on newly purchased stocks that decays over twelve months.

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