Investors are watching conflict in the Middle East closely as inflationary pressures begin to build beneath the surface. One of the challenges for many investors is reduced exposure to the hedging benefits of fossil fuels in listed, and private markets.
In a sweeping discussion at FIS Maastricht, Professor Stephen Kotkin argues that Ukraine still has a long fight ahead, China has learnt economic strangulation and diplomatic coercion are a better strategy than invasion in Taiwan - and the west must invest more in its financial systems, military alliances and society.
The worst is yet to come, warns the IMF in its sobering World Economic Outlook report. Investors will increasingly prioritise safe assets with implications for emerging markets while chaos in the UK gilts markets underscores the risks of a policy mistake.
CIOs need more sophisticated tools to manage liquidity in a post-COVID world, experts say, now that the DC retirement landscape has been permanently changed following the precedent of early release schemes.
The 2022 annual CIO Sentiment Survey, a collaboration between Top1000funds.com and CaseyQuirk, finds asset owners most concerned about equity valuations and inflation. After three years of fee rises, asset owners are paying less for investments while CIOs in 2022 are also working with a smaller manager roster.
Incorporating uncertainty into the asset allocation process is a complicated but essential ingredient of building portfolio resilience, something investors are valuing more than ever in an environment where inflation, geopolitical and climate risks dominate. GIC and BlackRock have both developed asset allocation frameworks that incorporate investors’ aversion for uncertainty.
The methods central banks use to predict inflation are breaking down, and world governments will need to look beyond monetary policy and incorporate fiscal and climate policy levers to balance fragile economies, according to renowned economics professor Warwick McKibbin.
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