Nick Wade from Northfield and the Curious Quant discuss the impact of COVID on risk modeling frameworks, assumptions, and how the recent movements in asset markets may or may not impact the short and long-term assumptions of asset owners.
COVID Popup Podcast: Curious Quant and Nick Wade discuss if risk models have something to say about pandemic risk.
Rest Super’s selective approach to PE pays off as program comes of age
A concentrated bet on fewer, better GP relationships is paying off for one of Australia's largest superannuation funds. Built on selective manager and deal selection rather than a broad roster, the A$112 billion ($78 billion) Rest Super delivered private equity returns more than double the peer average last financial year, as the fund proactively courts top-tier PE firms instead of waiting to be approached.
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AIMCo sheds more costs with NYC, Singapore offices the latest casualties
The C$169 billion Alberta Investment Management Corporation has shut its Singapore and New York offices and sacked high-profile investment staff as part of a “strategic re-alignment of resources” under the leadership of former Canadian prime minister and now chair of AIMCo Stephen Harper.
AP funds reform: Expanded opportunity in private equity
Much anticipated reform of Sweden's five buffer funds will liquidate AP1, dividing assets between AP3 and AP4. Private equity specialist AP6 will also merge with AP2, expanding the opportunity for the private equity investor and securing the future of the specialist team.
ML forecasts trump analyst coverage over long horizons: Research
Machine learning forecasts of corporate earnings outperform analyst forecasts, by revealing new information, economically important predictors and capturing non-linear relationships. Investors can use ML models as a less-biased forecast and a decision-making tool for when there is a vacuum of analyst coverage, an award-winning research paper has found.
US, Australia the fastest growers as global pension assets hit $59 trillion
US and Australia have the fastest growth in pension assets among the world’s seven largest markets, as defined contribution-dominated countries helped push global pension assets to $58.5 trillion by the end of 2024.
Federal Thrift integrates new ex-China index; inspires others
The $946.9 billion Federal Retirement Thrift Investment Board (FRTIB) has integrated a new index that excludes China and Hong Kong in its I Fund. The strategy has now inspired leaders of US state pensions to exclude China too.
Cash and overweight to US equities pays at New Jersey
The New Jersey Division of Investment generated double digit returns in fiscal year 2024 while maintaining good liquidity and dry powder on hand with an overweight to cash and cash equivalents. The cash position is likely to decline through 2025 given the robust pipeline in new private market opportunities.
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