I speak with my a great voice of independent research in London on the topics of using alternative data for FX and macro research for quantitative strategies. We talk a lot about Saeed’s well known work in macro-economics, in FX research, as well as his well known and regarded book.
Michael Pettis on China’s overinvestment paradox, and the Japan-style reckoning still to come
China's advanced infrastructure and ballooning debt are two sides of the same story, says Carnegie Endowment nonresident senior fellow Michael Pettis, who compares China's coming consumption-led rebalancing to Japan's in the 1980s. In conversation with Top1000funds.com Asia Pacific correspondent Darcy Song, Pettis unpacks what this means for institutional investors weighing China exposure over multi-decade horizons, and why he remains bearish on the country's outlook.
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Threats to equity bond correlation
A full-blown trade war, and changes in monetary policy triggered by a loss of credibility in the Federal Reserve and other global policy institutions, could result in a return of the positive correlation between bonds and stocks, and investors need to be aware of the risk, warned Luis Viceira, George E. Bates Professor in the Finance Unit and Senior Associate Dean for Executive Education at Harvard Business School, at the Fiduciary Investors’ Symposium at Harvard University.
Inequality risk equal to climate change
Rebecca Henderson, the John and Natty McArthur University Professor at Harvard University who co-teaches Reimagining Capitalism at HBS, says inequality is equal to climate risk in its potential impact. She told delegates at the Fiduciary Investors Symposium at Harvard University when a system no longer generates freedom and prosperity it must be changed. Change is possible because we have the resources and technology to do it. A first move is decent jobs for people at the “bottom”.
We are going to live longer; prepare now
Understanding the economic implications of changing demographics is essential for investors, said Aubrey de Grey, a biomedical gerontologist speaking at the Fiduciary Investors' Symposium at Harvard University He said the technology exists today so that the ageing process can be combated and people will live much longer in the future than what they do today, so really “longevity is a side effect of health”. He urged investors to think about how people living longer will affect consumer behaviour and investee companies.
Investors want resilient portfolios
Pension fund CIOs want resilient portfolios that can weather all environments, delegates heard at the Fiduciary Investors Symposium at Harvard University.
FIS Harvard gallery day three
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FIS Harvard gallery day two
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