Prof Rob Hyndman discusses the interesting elements of his work as editor of the Internal Journal of Forecasting, his work on forecasting COVID for the Australian government, time-series and causality.
Prof Rob Hyndman: Forecasting COVID, time-series, and why causality doesnt matter as much as you think.
The twin forces rewriting the rules of investing
Portfolios built for the old world will be severely tested as emerging forces rewrite the rules of investing. The Fiduciary Investors Symposium heard that geopolitical and macroeconomic upheaval, together with the disruption wrought by AI, should force asset owners to rethink the structure and composition of portfolios.
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Abu Dhabi sovereign fund coughs up: first ever review published
With uncharacteristic fanfare, the big Abu Dhabi sovereign wealth fund has provided the first insight into its workings, illustrating an international outlook and an appetite for a sophisticated asset allocation strategy. The fund published its first ever “annual review” this week. mrec4inarticleinline Sponsored Content scnative1 scnative2 scnative3
After bumper year, Ilmarinen turns to Asia
Surging equity markets generated a double-digit return for the 26 billion ($35.5 billion) Ilmarinen of Finland last year. Now the fund aims to boost its exposure to emerging markets at the expense of “old Europe” equities, says Timo Ritakallio, deputy CEO and investments chief at the pensions company, and further globalise its real estate and
The benefits of US regulatory reform
US regulatory reform, such as the SEC’s plan to restore the uptick rule and the Volcker rule to restrict proprietary trading, are a step in the right direction for those advocating transparency. Amanda White explores the story with the chief executive of Principal Global Investors, Jim McCaughan, and head of research, analysis and strategy at
CalPERS considers new asset class classification
CalPERS is considering doing away with traditional asset class classifications in favour of classifying assets according to fundamental characteristics in a bid to provide a better understanding of portfolio risks and performance drivers and so move to a more effective portfolio construction and risk management framework. Amanda White reports. mrec4inarticleinline Sponsored Content scnative1 scnative2 scnative3
Why credit matters
In this updated paper, Janus expands on the emerging themes in the fixed income market, highlighting that important factors in 2010 include rising interest rates, spread tightening and the US government’s support of the mortgage market, which all have potentially serious implications for yield-seeking investors.mrec4inarticleinline Sponsored Content scnative1 scnative2 scnative3
Risk parity becomes bittersweet flavour of the month (2)
 “Understanding a program’s results involves attributing relative performance to active management, identifying any tactical asset allocation decisions and assessing mechanical factors such as leverage costs. “For most investors implementation of a leveraged strategy would likely require the retention of a beta overlay manager to execute and maintain the desired leveraged systematic exposures or an
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