Fantastic conversation with Igor Halperin around the application of reinforcement learning into forecasting problem, and the limits to data and understanding the world.
The twin forces rewriting the rules of investing
Portfolios built for the old world will be severely tested as emerging forces rewrite the rules of investing. The Fiduciary Investors Symposium heard that geopolitical and macroeconomic upheaval, together with the disruption wrought by AI, should force asset owners to rethink the structure and composition of portfolios.
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The Role of Commodities and Timberland in a Portfolio
Over the last several years, institutional investors have more than doubled their allocation, to over $110 billion, to financial products whose returns are linked to those of commodity indices. Commodities may be attractive due to the low correlation between the returns of commodities and those of other asset classes, the high correlation of commodities returns
Hedge Fund Alert: Looking Around the Corner for More Risk and Opportunity
How do current market activities, regulatory changes and dislocations potentially impact the ability of hedge funds to prosper going forward? The huge changes occurring in the markets are having a significant impact on hedge funds, including short sale restrictions, disclosure requirements and the effective elimination of the investment banking model and its attendant impact on
Adveq Private Equity Market Assessment and Outlook
Over the last 12 months global financial markets have undergone major corrections following, fundamentally, a break-down in the confidence and trust in the financial system as practiced by the Western world. Along with this break-down we experienced a steep fall in US housing prices, the nationalization of financial institutions, the forced merger and/or failure of
Activist Investing
Activist investing is an investment approach whereby an investor seeks to influence the strategy of a company. Strategy may be very broadly defined to include acquisitions, divestitures, capital structure, dividend policy and board composition, inter alia. We see two broad aspects of this strategy that may exist separately or together. First, activist investing may seek
Is Alpha Just Beta Waiting to be Discovered? What the rise of hedge fund beta means for investors
Alpha is shrinking, and it’s good news for investors. This idea may seem paradoxical. But alpha is really just the portion of a portfolio’s returns that cannot be explained by exposure to common risk factors (betas). With the emergence of new betas, the unexplained portion (alpha) shrinks – alpha gets reclassified as beta. The rise
Basis Risk in Liability-Hedging Strategies
Recent pricing dislocations in U.S. fixed-income markets have illustrated there is more to hedging a liability’s interest rate risk than simply matching its duration. Basis risk – in the context of liability hedging – is the risk that the changes in the market value of assets, designated as a hedge, will deviate from the changes
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