Fantastic conversation with Igor Halperin around the application of reinforcement learning into forecasting problem, and the limits to data and understanding the world.
Rest Super’s selective approach to PE pays off as program comes of age
A concentrated bet on fewer, better GP relationships is paying off for one of Australia's largest superannuation funds. Built on selective manager and deal selection rather than a broad roster, the A$112 billion ($78 billion) Rest Super delivered private equity returns more than double the peer average last financial year, as the fund proactively courts top-tier PE firms instead of waiting to be approached.
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Oil crisis: Curb or catalyst to the green transition?
The blockage of the Strait of Hormuz has left the world facing another energy crisis and warning bells of a global recession are growing increasingly shrill. Ostensibly, the crisis could also push the energy transition back as governments and companies scramble to shoulder the cost of $100 per barrel of oil and prepare for higher
GPIF positions its alternatives database as first gate in manager selection
Japan’s Government Pension Investment Fund will soon look to expand its alternatives database project, which evaluates the performance of private markets GPs, to cover more funds. Director of research and analytics speaks with Top1000funds.com on how the $2 trillion pension giant will position the system as its first point of reference for private market manager due diligence.
The China-plus-one ‘reality check’ investors need
While the dominant economic narrative has been that supply chains are shifting out of China amidst rising geopolitical competition and that the ASEAN countries are obvious beneficiaries, the truth is more nuanced.
‘Decay’ and renewal: Stephen Kotkin on the two sides of today’s geopolitics
While war weighs heavily on the world’s mind and its portfolio impacts are acutely felt by investors, celebrated geopolitical expert Stephen Kotkin said there is another thing that troubles him even more in today’s society: the "decay" of government performance.
AI will revolutionise investing, but machines won’t carry the can
Tokenisation of traditional assets will lead to a boom in on-chain trading, and that in turn opens the door to AI-agentic trading. But there are risks that AI agents may behave in unpredictable ways and, despite the hype surrounding the technology, still produce unexpected investment losses. In these cases, it will typically still be the CIO who bears responsibility – so they’d better understand what their AI agents are up to.
GIC: Geopolitical risks rewire asset allocation ‘operating system’
Some investors are “missing the point” of geopolitical risks by equating them to the disruptions from conflicts and wars, according to GIC chief economist Prakash Kannan, but in reality, geopolitical risk is no longer episodic or peripheral. This means investors need to think harder about inflation and country composition in their portfolio.
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