Prof Rob Hyndman: Forecasting COVID, time-series, and why causality doesnt matter as much as you think.

Prof Rob Hyndman discusses the interesting elements of his work as editor of the Internal Journal of Forecasting, his work on forecasting COVID for the Australian government, time-series and causality. 

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The twin forces rewriting the rules of investing

The twin forces rewriting the rules of investing

Portfolios built for the old world will be severely tested as emerging forces rewrite the rules of investing. The Fiduciary Investors Symposium heard that geopolitical and macroeconomic upheaval, together with the disruption wrought by AI, should force asset owners to rethink the structure and composition of portfolios.

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UK funds keen on longevity swaps over annuities

With two more UK pension funds announcing arrangements to hedge their pensioner liabilities against improvements in longevity there is speculation these DIY swaps may replace bulk annuity buy-ins by pension funds. mrec4inarticleinline Sponsored Content scnative1 scnative2 scnative3

CalPERS considers water bonds

The $178 billion CalPERS is considering inflation-linked assets, such as the water bonds issued by the World Bank, as part of an over-riding view to allocate capital to climate change initiatives. mrec4inarticleinline Sponsored Content scnative1 scnative2 scnative3

Khazanah pulls state-owned firms from jaws of crisis

The financial crisis struck as many of the state-owned portfolio companies held by Khazanah Nasional Berdad, Malaysia’s $23 billion (RM82 billion) sovereign wealth fund (SWF), were learning to operate with new executive leaders and, crucially, less gearing. Simon Mumme charts the progress of the manager’s attempts to strengthen and diversify the Malaysian economy throughout the

Focus on medium-term, too, can add 1-1.5% to returns

As institutional investors have been hit hard by events of the past 18 months, there has been a surge of interest in the adoption of an additional, mid-term, time frame in which to provide investment targets. Watson Wyatt believes pension funds should allocate between 5 and 15 per cent of their risk budget to dynamic

Schapiro considers action on pay to play

The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is currently considering pay-to-play activities and will report back on any proposed action in the next few weeks, according to its chairman Mary Schapiro, speaking via video at the annual International Corporate Governance Network conference this week. mrec4inarticleinline Sponsored Content scnative1 scnative2 scnative3

Hermes chief calls for mandate overhaul

Pension funds should demand an overhaul in the product offerings of funds managers and change the terms of mandates to incorporate environmental, social and governance issues in portfolios, according to Colin Melvin, chief executive of Hermes Equity Ownership Services, who pointed to a number of funds in the UK, including the owner of Hermes, BT

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