Prof Rob Hyndman: Forecasting COVID, time-series, and why causality doesnt matter as much as you think.

Prof Rob Hyndman discusses the interesting elements of his work as editor of the Internal Journal of Forecasting, his work on forecasting COVID for the Australian government, time-series and causality. 

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The twin forces rewriting the rules of investing

The twin forces rewriting the rules of investing

Portfolios built for the old world will be severely tested as emerging forces rewrite the rules of investing. The Fiduciary Investors Symposium heard that geopolitical and macroeconomic upheaval, together with the disruption wrought by AI, should force asset owners to rethink the structure and composition of portfolios.

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US funds look for more protection offshore

The trend away from US equities and various fixed interest products as interest rates risks increase is expected to continue, according to the latest Global Asset Flows Review from eVestment Alliance and Casey Quirk. mrec4inarticleinline Sponsored Content scnative1 scnative2 scnative3

More beta, fewer managers, improves portfolio efficiency

A truly diversified portfolio will have 15 separate asset class allocations with an emphasis on beta opportunities and little to no reliance on active management, according to a Towers Watson’s model. mrec4inarticleinline Sponsored Content scnative1 scnative2 scnative3

UK election could trigger rating downgrade

UK pension funds should brace themselves for bad news after today’s election – no matter what the result – if the country’s credit rating is downgraded. mrec4inarticleinline Sponsored Content scnative1 scnative2 scnative3

Behind ABP’s strategic investment plan

APG, which manages investments for Dutch pension funds including the giant ABP, has finalised its strategic investment plan for 2010-2012. Amanda White spoke to managing director of strategic portfolio management, Ronald Wuijster, about why there is a continued trend to diversification away from developed market equities and how the portfolio construction methodology has altered. mrec4inarticleinline

Private equity hurting from the boom

No matter what they say, private equity managers will struggle to deliver stellar returns from the vintages of the global recession. Simon Mumme speaks to Jane Welsh, global head of private markets research at Towers Watson, about why the glut of capital committed to private equity in its heyday could depress future returns. mrec4inarticleinline Sponsored

The beta-alpha ratio will yield more success

Using a “Beta-Alpha Ratio” will yield more success in choosing managers ex-ante, compared to other methodology prevalent in the consulting industry, according to a new paper by Wurts Associates’ director of research, Eric Petroff, and research associate, Curtis Yasutake. mrec4inarticleinline Sponsored Content scnative1 scnative2 scnative3

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