When it comes to climate risk, traditional scenario analysis leaves investors with more questions than answers and omits uncertainty around physical risk and the interaction between physical risk, inflation and tipping points. Investors need to abandon modern portfolio theory and find a new approach that focuses on short-term scenarios.
USS and the University of Exeter have outlined new climate scenarios that focus on short term, real world impacts and are more useful for investors. USS will use them to develop a long-term investment outlook and top-down portfolio construction.
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Sustainability Oxford 2023