国内企業年金基金の多くは政府の「アセットオーナー改革」方針に対して今のところ静観の構えを示している。年末までに策定予定の政策計画を見極める姿勢だが、業務負担が増すとの懸念があるほか、支持率が低下する岸田文雄政権のリーダーシップに不安があると冷ややかな声も出ている。
Geeta Kapadia, CIO of Fordham University’s $1 billion endowment is rolling out a suite of changes that include paring back the fund’s 50 or so manager relationships, introducing new passive allocations, testing the water on internal management in fixed income and preparing the ground for an inaugural sustainability strategy.
“My general preference is for a smaller, concentrated portfolio,” says Kapadia in an interview with Top1000funds.com from the New York university endowment’s Bronx headquarters. In some cases, she might swap managers by replacing incumbents with those who are a better fit and creating some multiple partnerships. But in other corners of the portfolio, she is considering removing the mandate altogether.
“We have more managers than we need and instead of adding value they are detracting, costing us money, and in some cases, providing only benchmark performance. Every portfolio could lose a manager; my overall objective is to reduce the total number of managers.”
Kapadia has recruited a new, five-strong team (comprising two new hires and two internal promotions) to oversee the traditional, growth-focused portfolio where the largest allocations include absolute return hedge funds (15 per cent of AUM), public and private equity and a smaller allocation to private credit. A year and a half since taking the helm, she is about to put her vision into action.
That begins with the introduction of new passive mandates. Until now the whole portfolio has been actively managed but from year-end new passive managers in equity and fixed income will come in. “We are hoping to implement decent-sized passive allocations by year-end,” she says. “I don’t think looking for long-only US equity managers that outperform is a great use of our time. I’d rather take active risk in private markets than in public equities or credit.”
In a further break with the past she is also considering insourcing passive fixed income. “At my previous firm, we successfully managed a passive fixed income allocation in house. Building off that expertise, we may consider implementing a similar portfolio at Fordham.”
The team continue to scrutinize manager relationships across the portfolio where she says it’s been a good time to re-evaluate the strength of private equity partnerships to make positive changes – despite the slower fund-raising environment, managers are coming back to re-up. “We are evaluating our existing private equity managers’ funds while continuing to develop relationships with new managers,” she says.
She tends to favour small, niche GPs including new managers coming to market with their second or third fund that are looking to partner with institutions focused on growth and long-term relationships. Typical questions focus on managers’ intentionality and decision-making processes, firm ownership and fees, in the types of conversations that are much easier with smaller managers.
She also wants managers to provide analysis on how inflation is impacting founders and their decision to come to market; she expects insights on portfolio companies’ ability to hire, put money into the business or other factors that could support operations and ultimately outperformance.
In the main, Fordham tends to invest in private equity funds below the $5 billion mark and typically writes cheques of between $10-30 million – although she caveats that does depend on the opportunity and if there is overlap with the venture allocation. “We particularly like private equity focused on healthcare and education tech, and investments that are addressing challenges faced by underserved communities.”
Although she notes partnering with smaller and emerging managers gives Fordham the ability to influence fee negotiations, she is mindful that small GPs depend on fees to grow their teams and infrastructure, and she won’t push too far. “In contrast to the larger GPs, they typically need the fees more,” she says. “Our more challenging conversations about fees tends to be more with the bigger managers that have more room to negotiate.”
Fordham’s hedge fund managers are undergoing the same scrutiny.
She doesn’t invest in quantitative systematic funds as a rule, and her primary focus is meeting hedge fund portfolio managers in-person. Here she talks through the strategy, ensures it aligns with what the manger says; that the strategy is given time to demonstrate its value and that she understands any underperformance.
“We need to get to know the managers and understand what they are doing, ensuring there isn’t an overlap between strategies, and that each portfolio is positioned to take advantage of the current environment.” She adds her knowledge of the names (mostly small and niche and focused on one or two strategies) is deeper than in private equity given she’s overseen relationships with many hedge fund firms in previous roles.
The hedge fund portfolio is mainly tasked with dampening the downside and providing uncorrelated returns. “Over the last fiscal year, the book did what we hoped and diversified away from low returning equity markets.”
Any changes to the manager roster will be on the margins, however she is focused on ensuring there isn’t an over reliance on long short managers and that she is not over-playing the US bias. “I really want to ensure we don’t just have a collection of long/short managers as a default. If I am going to add anything in this space, it will likely be non-US, but generally we have a strong portfolio already in place.”
In another change of tact, Kapadia is also mulling the introduction of more income producing assets. This is unlikely to be traditional fixed income that clips coupons, but she does want to see what investments exist that are long-term, provide regular income, and can contribute to funding Fordham’s 4.5 per cent annual spend that is wholly dependent on investment revenues and donations.
“To ensure we don’t have to sell investments to fund our liquidity needs, we think three to four quarters ahead regarding our spend.” She says Fordham’s return target looks to fund the spend and add a couple of percentage points above that.
Going forward she is also keen to do more to integrate sustainability. The endowment already has direct exposure to sustainability funds, but she wants “to do better” and is mulling a strategy that could begin with divestment.
“When it comes to ESG, we believe we may be behind our peers,” she says. A new leadership team at the top of the university; a new investment committee, her own new team and consultant, plus growing engagement from Fordham’s student community is shifting the scales. “We will increasingly spend time thinking what exposure we must companies we are not excited about, and what a potential ESG policy might look like. We want to demonstrate tangible change and need to decide as an institution what we want to achieve and how achievable those objectives are.”
Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida’s ambitious strategy to reinvigorate the country’s $5 trillion asset management industry encounters a cool response from domestic corporate pension funds. Stakeholders express reluctance, citing uncertainties and a perceived lack of instant benefits as government panels form to craft the reform plans.
Kishida outlined in September the government’s commitment to mobilizing about 2,000 trillion yen of household assets into investments, addressing the prevalent issue of nearly half of these assets lying idle in cash or bank deposits. According to a report by the Bank of Japan in August, households kept an average 54.2 percent of their assets in cash and deposits, compared with 12.6 percent in the U.S. and 35.5 percent in the Eurozone.
Kishida is not entirely focused on encouraging investment but also seeks to elevate the industry’s standards. He emphasizes the importance of asset managers and owners to enhance their skills and governance structures. As part of this initiative, Kishida plans to establish principles by the summer of 2024, defining the roles of pension funds and insurers in ensuring appropriate returns for beneficiaries. Transparency, especially from company pension funds, will be a key requirement in this endeavor. To pursue these objectives, the government has formed panels to promote reforms that are scheduled to present a comprehensive policy plan by the end of the year.
Katsuyuki Tokushima, the head of pension research and ESG development at NLI Research Institute said that while the Kishida administration’s effort to initiate reform and advocate for increased sophistication in the industry is commendable, stakeholders in the corporate pension fund industry have shown limited enthusiasm so far.
“The government is saying the right thing and the pension fund and asset management industries understand the importance of implementing reforms, but there is no urgency among them as they can’t see a clear benefit,” Tokushima said. “They are closely watching what kind of reforms would the government panel come up with in December before taking any action.”
The domestic corporate pension industry, facing challenging market conditions due to the rises in global interest rates and evolving geopolitical situations, may not believe in immediate benefits from government-led reform actions. Their primary focus lies in navigating these difficult conditions to enhance investment returns. Any potential reform measures imposed by the government could mean more administrative challenges for corporate pension funds already grappling with workforce shortages and the need for qualified employees with profound knowledge of financial markets.
NRI’s Tokushima said the Kishida government may be seeking the success achieved during Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s administration, particularly with the Government Pension Investment Fund (GPIF). Under Abenomics, the GPIF successfully revamped its asset allocation strategy by significantly increasing investments in equities. The fund also adopted a stewardship code, reinforcing its commitment as a long-term investor. Notably, these series of reforms enabled the GPIF to attract top-tier investment professionals from prestigious financial institutions globally, including the current Chief Investment Officer Eiji Ueda, formally a director at Goldman Sachs in Japan.
“Back then there was Abenomics, but I don’t think corporate pension funds see much benefit from the reforms which the Kishida administration is trying to implement,” Tokushima said, adding that there are questions about the leadership of this administration, especially considering Kishida’s support rate recently has hit new lows in three of Japan’s biggest newspapers – the Yomiuri, Asahi and Mainichi.
The domestic retirement allowance benefit reserve fund had 492 trillion yen in reserve in 2021, of which 55 percent, or 271 trillion yen, was reserved for public pensions, and corporate pension funds accounted for only 14 percent, or 70 trillion yen, according to a report issued by the Pension Fund Association in September. In addition, there are various entities that are asset owners, including life insurance companies, non-life insurance companies, university funds, school corporations, and various foundations that bring the overall asset to more than 800 trillion yen.
“Corporate pension funds have been in the spotlight for a long time, but they don’t have the presence that many people expect,” a participant who spoke on anonymity representing an organization of asset owners. “We will continue to consider this challenge, and we will proactively work on what we can do. I hope you will understand the actual situation of corporate pension plans and that we can have a balanced discussion based on correct facts.”
スイスのジュネーブ州年金基金(CPEG)最高投資責任者グレゴワール・ヘーニ(Gregoire Haenni)氏は、日本株を選好していると述べた。依然として緩和モードの日銀金融政策や、足元のインフレ傾向にも関わらず良好な国内消費動向、企業のガバナンス改善姿勢、魅力的な配当利回りなどを理由として挙げている。日銀が利上げに動けば日本株は調整する可能性があるが、株価下落局面での購入を狙っているという。
The $23 billion pension fund of the state of Geneva in Switzerland is favouring Japanese equities and seeking opportunities to acquire them when prices decline amid factors including attractive dividend yields, the monetary policy by the Japanese central bank and stable consumer habits.
Gregoire Haenni, chief investment officer at Caisse de prevoyance de l’Etat de Geneve (CPEG), said in an interview on the sidelines of the 17th Global Fiduciary Symposium in Tokyo that CPEG maintains a significant allocation to Japanese equities and has plans to persist in their investment.
Japan’s Nikkei stock average has gained 25 per cent so far this year, outperforming the performance of the MSCI China index, which has declined 11 per cent and the S&P 500 which has climbed 15 per cent.
The pension fund holds a bullish outlook on equities, particularly in Japan.
“Within equities, we like Japanese equities,” Haenni said. “One reason is that the BOJ is still in the normalization mode and not in the tightening mode, which is favorable for Japanese equities,” he said.
Haenni said consumption is an important component in contributing to Japanese gross domestic product but the country’s consumers lack an inflation mentality, indicating that stable consumer habits are playing a role in boosting the resilience of the economy.
Additionally, there is a positive trend in promoting corporate governance in Japan. “Top management is increasingly aware of shareholders’ benefits,” Haenni said. “In the past, we’ve seen many false starts in Japan, but this time we are seeing a favorable opportunity.”
The chief investment officer noted a capability within Japanese companies to foster value and growth. In contrast to the US, where challenges are seen, especially to “Magnificent Seven” artificial intelligence growth stocks, Japanese corporations demonstrate more capacity for generating value.
Japanese companies are gradually increasing prices after absorbing inflationary pressures. Such moves are expected to increase profitability by incorporating inflation into their pricing, Haenni said.
CPEG holds a positive outlook toward companies, particularly those aligned with the green transition. “Japanese institutional investors should consider investments in sectors that support net-zero commitments,” Haenni said.
Meanwhile, CPEG views currency risk as a significant concern, with a lower yen potentially leading to inflation due to increased import costs to weigh Japanese equities.
Regarding BOJ, CPEG anticipates that it is likely to address inflation and tighten its monetary policy. This move could dampen market sentiment but the rate hike is expected to proceed gradually. The BOJ is expected to slowly adjust its yield curve control (YCC) policy and adopt a less aggressive policy compared to other central banks, he said.
With inflation already exceeding the BOJ’s 2% target for more than a year, the central bank tweaked YCC in October to allow long-term rates to rise more, a move seen by markets as a step toward phasing out its huge stimulus.
In the event of a significant decline in Japanese stocks, CPEG would treat it as an opportunity. “Japanese equities will correct at some point but it’s a good strategy to buy when there is a correction,” Haenni said.
In his first public comments since being named chief investment officer of Australia’s sovereign wealth fund in August, Ben Samild has said fostering a team culture of “purpose and joy” is among his top priorities.
“I genuinely love everyone who works for me,” Samild told Top1000funds’com’s sister publication, Investment Magazine which reports on the Australian institutional investment market.
“I’m genuinely interested in who they are and what they do, and I feel an incredibly deep responsibility to them to have a similar experience as I have done within the confines of this organisation.”
In a candid and at-times personal address, Samild – who studied neuroscience and joined the Future Fund in 2013 to head the debt and alternatives portfolio – projected a kinder, gentler image of an investment sector leader, rejecting what he said were “macho” tendencies to underrate soft skills and focus only on hard-nosed commercial performance.
“The industry is immersed in the language of competition, finance as a ‘battle’,” he said. “We need to outmanoeuvre, outflank, starve our opponent of opportunities, ‘seize’ the high ground and ‘dominate’ our opponents. It’s tempting to relent. It is easy to give in to this militaristic language and culture.
“But history and life teach us that there is far more to life than conflict. We spend far more time creating, collaborating, interacting constructively, and pursuing our passions and our curiosity than we do fighting.”
Instead, he said his aim was to oversee a joined-up portfolio construction that was founded on “connection and inclusion … questioning and re-testing”. Samild revealed he has appointed all of the fund’s sector heads (and above) to the investment committee.
“This encourages active ownership, participation and contribution … It’s vital to that sense of curiosity and collaboration that we want to foster.
“This is definitely not the textbook ideal size for efficient decision making. But at its core, our style of investing makes a deliberate trade-off between efficiency and effectiveness. Effective in our context as a long-term asset owner is not necessarily always efficient.”
At the same time, he made clear his key focus was still on “superior long-term investment returns”, arguing a more collaborative and curious team would help generate that outperformance. He rejected common criticisms of his softer approach – which he said could often be reduced to “some form of ‘show me the money’” – saying it was possible to achieve a difficult mandate while still inspiring purpose.
“Knowledge accumulates through those processes and then through questioning and re-testing,” he said. “The same applies to investing and I want to create a virtuous circle to outcomes. If I have to get kicked out of the macho finance leadership club then so be it, that’s not a club I ever wanted to join the wait list of.”
Samild, who worked in the US in the early 2000s at a macro fund operated by Elysium Technology, said he wanted to create the “opposite” culture to many hedge funds, which he described as “Darwinian” and “brutal”.
$65 billion resilience reform
Samild also said he was prioritising portfolio resilience, echoing his predecessor Raphael Arndt’s thesis that inflation will be persistent and higher for longer.
He revealed the fund had made $65 billion worth of investment decisions over the past three years aimed at defending the $250 billion portfolio against a slew of market headwinds.
“Inflation moving higher, rates following that trend; changes in the geopolitical order; more conflict; the challenge of climate change and re-designing the global energy system, and fiscal expansion are among the big themes we see as the most important influences on our daily investment decisions. Most, if not all of these structural forces have come to pass or are at least developing,” he said.
“In the face of this we have tried to build as much resilience into the portfolio as we can while we try to work through big questions like, what level of real rates can the international economy and global government finances sustain?”
He said he stuck by the fund’s argument in a white paper last year which heralded the “death of traditional portfolio construction” based on a 60/40 asset allocation. Asked whether the 60/40 portfolio of equities and fixed income may have rebounded amid higher bond yields, he said it was true that the market had improved, but was still unsure bonds will play their traditional role in providing defence.
“If they’re fundamentally changing their role in the portfolio, and there are reasons to fundamentally doubt the correlation benefits of holding these assets, then they just another asset, and … compete with every other asset on the basis of risk and return.”
Asked about pressure on the fund from both sides of politics – with conservative think tanks calling for the fund’s abolition and Greens urging it to adopt a net zero emissions target and divest fossil fuel companies – Samild said it was appropriate that a sovereign fund attract scrutiny.
“We should have to constantly justify the value we are earning over a reasonable period,” he said, but warned taking in more of an impact objective would require legislative change.
“We have a mandate, which is governed by legislation, which is given to us by the government, that is intended to represent [the whole Australian community] as best it can … we invest to the mandate we’ve been given.”
Asked about the appointment of a new chairman of the Future Fund’s Board of Guardians, expected to replace Liberal treasurer Peter Costello early next year, Samild said only that he would be “shocked if it was not a woman”.