While war weighs heavily on the world’s mind and its portfolio impacts are acutely felt by investors, celebrated geopolitical expert Stephen Kotkin said there is another thing that troubles him even more in today’s society: the "decay" of government performance.
Kevin Warsh’s strong views on economic governance, and his precocious nature, will hold him in good stead as he takes the reins of the US Federal Reserve. For investors, his views on the conflating of monetary and fiscal policy are key considerations to watch.
Stephen Kotkin, global geopolitical expert and Stanford academic, has warned that there is an “increasing governability challenge in high-income democracies” where government departments face declining capacity to perform core functions due to complex regulatory systems and bureaucratic tasks.
The second Trump administration has given investors plenty to worry about – tax changes, tariffs and diplomatic chaos among other concerns. But geopolitics expert Stephen Kotkin said the only real danger that will obliterate any portfolio is an US-China war.
The second Trump administration has so far brought a lot of things: market shocks, volatile trade policies, and turbulent foreign relationships. But beyond the chaos, renowned geopolitics expert Stephen Kotkin says Trump has an unwitting role to help the world rebalance and reach a “new equilibrium” in the global order.
The potential of technology is constrained only by the laws of physics, whether classical or, increasingly, quantum. As the power of technology increases it allows us to understand the world in a lot more detail – including why the current path to net-zero isn’t going to work.
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