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Research

Finance model says Biden will win

Joe Biden will win the US election according to a technique used in finance to predict factor returns and the correlation of stock and bond returns. The technique, outlined in an MIT working paper, correctly predicted the past five elections, including 2016.
Risk

Chiefs outline risks in global economy

The impact of inequality, the skills gap in employment, looming cyber risks and the fragility in Europe makes the chiefs of five financial services firms wary about the outlook for the global economy, delegates at the Milken Institute Global Conference heard.
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